Satellite observations of the sea surface salinity response to tropical cyclones. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(1), e2020GL091478 A., Guimbard, S., Kudryavtsev, V., Foltz, G. The role of the Gulf of Mexico ocean conditions in the intensification of Hurricane Michael (2018). Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 126(5), e2020JC016969. Le Hénaff, M., Domingues, R., Halliwell, G., Zhang, J. based on the Leading Patterns of Large-Scale Atmospheric Anomalies Mon. Kumar, 2021: A Seasonal Probabilistic Outlook for Tornadoes (SPOTter) in the Contiguous U.S. Ocean Conditions and the Intensification of three Major Atlantic Hurricanes in 2017, Monthly Weather Review. A Satellite‐Derived Upper‐Ocean Stratification Data Set for the Tropical North Atlantic With Potential Applications for Hurricane Intensity Prediction. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 125(10), e2019JC015980.ĭomingues, R., Hénaff, M. Observed Global Increases in Tropical Cyclone‐Induced Ocean Cooling and Primary Production. Geophysical Research Letters, 48(9), e2021GL092574.ĭa, N. tornado activity, which is presented as the probability for above-, near-, and below-normal categories….ĭa, N. A multiple linear regression is applied to the predicted modes of tornadic environmental parameters to estimate U.S. This forecast model uses the leading empirical orthogonal function modes of regional variability in tornadic environmental parameters (i.e., low-level vertical wind shear and convective available potential energy), derived from the NCEP Coupled Forecast System, version 2, as the primary predictors.
A Seasonal Probabilistic Outlook for Tornadoes (SPOTter) in the Contiguous United States Based on the Leading Patterns of Large-Scale Atmospheric Anomalies. Monthly Weather Review, 149(4), 901-919.Ībstract: This study presents an experimental model for Seasonal Probabilistic Outlook for Tornadoes (SPOTter) in the contiguous United States for March, April, and May and evaluates its forecast skill.
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